Conflicts Forum’s Substack

Conflicts Forum’s Substack

Share this post

Conflicts Forum’s Substack
Conflicts Forum’s Substack
‘The Land of Performance’: Trump wanted a Perfect War, a Headline Show-stopper

‘The Land of Performance’: Trump wanted a Perfect War, a Headline Show-stopper

The strategic objective was a bust: The ‘house-of-cards’ did not implode -- Alastair Crooke, 3 July 2025

Conflicts Forum
Jul 03, 2025
∙ Paid
54

Share this post

Conflicts Forum’s Substack
Conflicts Forum’s Substack
‘The Land of Performance’: Trump wanted a Perfect War, a Headline Show-stopper
6
5
Share

“Depending on who you ask, the US bombing of Iran’s nuclear facilities in Fordow, Natanz and Isfahan was either a smashing success that severely crippled Tehran’s nuclear programme, or a flashy show whose results were less than advertised … In the grand scheme of things, all of this is just drama”.

The big issue -- second only to ‘what next in Iran’ and how they might respond -- says Michael Wolff (who has written four books on Trump), is “how the MAGA is going to respond”:

“And I think he [Trump] is genuinely worried, [Wolff emphasises]. And I think he should be worried. There are two fundamental things to this coalition – Immigration and War. Everything else is fungible and can be compromised. It's not sure those two elements can be compromised”.

The signal from Hegseth ('we are not at war with the Iranian people – just its nuclear programme’) clearly reflects a message being ‘walked back’ in the face of MAGA pushback: ‘Pay no attention. We’re not really doing war’ is what Hegseth was trying to say.

So, what’s next? There are basically four things that can happen: First, the Iranians can say ‘okay, we surrender’, but that’s just not going to happen; the second option is protracted war between Iran and Israel with Israel continuing to be attacked in a way that it has never been attacked before. And thirdly there is attempted regime change -- although this has never been successfully achieved by air assault alone. Historically, America’s regime changes have been accompanied by mass slaughter, years of instability, terrorism and chaos.

Lastly, there are those who warn that nuclear Armageddon is on the table with the aim of destroying Iran. But that would be a case of self-harm, since it likely would be Trump’s Armageddon too -- at the midterm elections.

Keep reading with a 7-day free trial

Subscribe to Conflicts Forum’s Substack to keep reading this post and get 7 days of free access to the full post archives.

Already a paid subscriber? Sign in
© 2025 Conflicts Forum
Privacy ∙ Terms ∙ Collection notice
Start writingGet the app
Substack is the home for great culture

Share