Your hope that the new American admin will negotiate the essential security architecture that Putin has insistently tabled for years to date is the clear way forward and as you mention is the most promising move towards the win Trump needs to vindicate his position, allowing him to wash his hands of the bad business. A convincing argument. I hope it works, but not too well. I believe there are Beltway forces who aim to tie Russia’s hands somehow or other while the Indo-pac people deliver the strategic blow. We don’t know how, or when. It’s been said that the Marines have abandoned their tanks and have trained intensively for island invading tasks, Mischief Reef and beyond maybe. I’ve recently discovered a Chinese/American blogger (‘Awakening Richard’ – you tube) who has translated a widely followed Chinese military analyst (PLA?) who recently did a podcast discussing the new Treasury (former Soros partner) appointee who announced a plan to increase oil production by 3 million barrels. The Chinese analyst claims that this gives away the game as the quantity equals the production cuts of OPEC +. He suggested this indicated a plan to shut down the Persian Gulf, an attack on Iran presumably, with America somehow enabled to set the price of oil. This is way over my head, and I might not have his argument right. But it seems a likely story. Attacking Iran is widely discussed but the real target is China. So then I hope the negotiations go well but I’d be suspicious if they started getting lovey dovey.
Your hope that the new American admin will negotiate the essential security architecture that Putin has insistently tabled for years to date is the clear way forward and as you mention is the most promising move towards the win Trump needs to vindicate his position, allowing him to wash his hands of the bad business. A convincing argument. I hope it works, but not too well. I believe there are Beltway forces who aim to tie Russia’s hands somehow or other while the Indo-pac people deliver the strategic blow. We don’t know how, or when. It’s been said that the Marines have abandoned their tanks and have trained intensively for island invading tasks, Mischief Reef and beyond maybe. I’ve recently discovered a Chinese/American blogger (‘Awakening Richard’ – you tube) who has translated a widely followed Chinese military analyst (PLA?) who recently did a podcast discussing the new Treasury (former Soros partner) appointee who announced a plan to increase oil production by 3 million barrels. The Chinese analyst claims that this gives away the game as the quantity equals the production cuts of OPEC +. He suggested this indicated a plan to shut down the Persian Gulf, an attack on Iran presumably, with America somehow enabled to set the price of oil. This is way over my head, and I might not have his argument right. But it seems a likely story. Attacking Iran is widely discussed but the real target is China. So then I hope the negotiations go well but I’d be suspicious if they started getting lovey dovey.