Trump sees the war in Gaza as having ended; A visibly frail & weakened Netanyahu 'might' travel to meet him ...

Conflicts Forum’s compilation tracking strategic developments in Israel, 31 January 2025

• “A mega-move, the Abraham Accords on speed, will certainly be at the center of the planned Netanyahu-Trump meeting’”

• A Netanyahu Trap? The dangers facing the implementation of Phase Two

• Israel’s Unprecedented Concessions -- ‘A declaration of a lasting calm’ & ‘Israel’s prisons emptied of most of the significant terrorists’

• ‘For the first time Netanyahu’s Coalition is at serious risk of collapse’

• Reports of Netanyahu’s domestic troubles – “Sara Netanyahu has no plans to return to Israel”

"If Netanyahu believes that Trump will allow him to reopen the whole story in a few weeks, then he is naive", an Israeli diplomatic source told Ben Caspit. Caspit continues:

“In short - Hamas gets what it wants: Return to full control of the northern Gaza Strip; The northern Gaza Strip will soon return to being an area populated by more than one and a half million Gazans (after it was greatly depleted and only about 200,000 people remained); This will make it very difficult for Israel to return to fighting in northern Gaza, if it wishes to do so after Phase I ... Returning to fighting within a densely populated area like Gaza City will be an almost impossible task in a few weeks”.

However, leading Israeli security commentator Ronen Bergman warns, there are inherent dangers facing implementation of Phase Two of the ceasefire deal:

“… Because all the details of the agreement signed between Israel and Hamas are being hidden from the public, no one understands that the negotiations on the second phase of the deal will not explode after the conclusion of the first phase, but much earlier", says a senior security source; "When it becomes clear to Hamas that there is no second phase, it will have no motivation to complete the first, and certainly not to reach the 42nd day, when about half of the hostages are supposed to be released alive … The talks regarding phase two [a security source says] include a series of difficulties and threats, mainly political, that will not allow Netanyahu to sign the deal, even if he were interested in doing so”.